Serbia vs Greece Prediction & Betting Tips – UEFA Nations League

Published Sep 14, 2026

Updated Sep 25, 2026

12 mins read

UEFA Nations League

Serbia

Thu, 24 Sep, 18:45

Greece

Match Finished

1:2

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Match Preview

Serbia host Greece at the Stadion Rajko Mitić on Thursday, 24 Sep 2026 at 18:45 UTC in a compelling UEFA Nations League fixture. Both sides enter this international window eager to re-establish momentum after mixed performances in recent friendly encounters. Serbia will be looking to capitalize on home advantage to kick off their group campaign with three points, while Greece aim to build defensive solidity and frustrate the hosts on foreign soil. With valuable group points and momentum at stake, this contest presents an intriguing tactical battle and an excellent betting opportunity.

Serbia – Team Analysis

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Result
2026-06-05	Friendlies	Mexico	1-5	Loss
2026-05-31	Friendlies	Cape Verde Islands	0-3	Loss
2026-03-31	Friendlies	Saudi Arabia	2-1	Win
2026-03-27	Friendlies	Spain	0-3	Loss
2025-11-16	World Cup Qualification	Latvia	2-1	Win

Average Goals Scored:1.0 goals/game

Average Goals Conceded:2.6 conceded/game

Current Form:LLWLW

Serbia’s recent form across all competitions reflects defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded an average of 2.6 goals per game. However, their competitive home displays have consistently offered higher ceiling performances compared to recent friendly outings. With primary attackers like Luka Jović ready to exploit space, Serbia possess superior offensive quality to unlock conservative defensive units.

Greece – Team Analysis

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Result
2026-06-07	Friendlies	Italy	0-1	Loss
2026-06-04	Friendlies	Sweden	2-2	Draw
2026-03-31	Friendlies	Hungary	0-0	Draw
2026-03-27	Friendlies	Paraguay	0-1	Loss
2025-11-18	World Cup Qualification	Belarus	0-0	Draw

Average Goals Scored:0.4 goals/game

Average Goals Conceded:0.8 conceded/game

Current Form:LDDLD

Greece have remained compact and tough to break down, conceding just 0.8 goals per match across their last five fixtures. However, severe struggles in front of goal—averaging only 0.4 goals scored per game—have left them winless in five matches (LDDLD). Without consistent goalscoring threats, holding off an aggressive home team over 90 minutes will be a tough task for the visitors.

Head-to-Head Record

Date	Competition	Match	Score	Winner

Serbia Wins:0

Draws:0

Greece Wins:0

Predicted Starting Lineups

Serbia – Predicted XI

3-5-2

Position	Player
Goalkeeper	P. Rajković
Defender	S. Pavlović
Defender	N. Milenković
Midfielder	N. Gudelj
Defender	S. Eraković
Midfielder	A. Živković
Midfielder	L. Samardžić
Midfielder	M. Gaćinović
Midfielder	A. Maksimović
Attacker	L. Jović
Attacker	P. Ratkov

Greece – Predicted XI

4-2-3-1

Position	Player
Goalkeeper	O. Vlachodimos
Defender	G. Vagiannidis
Defender	K. Koulierakis
Defender	K. Mavropanos
Defender	K. Tsimikas
Midfielder	D. Kourbelis
Midfielder	C. Zafeiris
Attacker	G. Masouras
Attacker	C. Tzolis
Attacker	V. Pavlidis
Attacker	T. Douvikas

Team News

Serbia absences: No key absences.

Greece absences: No key absences.

Betting Analysis & Tips

The match odds available on Wolfbet price Serbia at 2.48, the Draw at 3.23, and Greece at 2.65. Our predictive model assesses Serbia’s win probability at 48%, which reflects an expected value (+EV) of +19.0% against the implied market probability of 40.3%. Greece’s inability to score reliably (0.4 goals/game) heavily diminishes their realistic winning prospects on the road, despite their defensive record. Consequently, backing the hosts at 2.48 offers clear statistical value over the market consensus.

Market	Selection	Odds	Value Rating
Match Result	Serbia	2.48	★★★ Value
Draw	Draw	3.23	No value
Match Result	Greece	2.65	No value

Final Prediction

Serbia’s offensive potential and home advantage should prove decisive against a low-scoring Greek side. Expect a tight, tactical encounter where Serbia capitalize on key opportunities to secure a narrow victory.

Predicted Score	Serbia 1-0 Greece
Most Likely Result	Home Win
Recommended Bet	Home Win @ 2.48 (EV +19%)

Responsible Gambling

This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

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Oliver Grant

Football Expert

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Football tactical analyst from London, UK. Oliver has over a 8 years of experience covering European Leagues and UEFA competitions. Known for his data-driven insights and calm, analytical style.