European Football Predictions

Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund, Liverpool vs Arsenal and AC Milan vs Inter Milan are the three biggest games from 30 October to 2 November. Bayern and Dortmund play for first place in Germany, and the Derby della Madonnina is on Saturday night. SportRadar makes Bayern 71.7% favourites, Arsenal 40.5% at Anfield and Inter 48.3% in the derby. Our European football predictions below cover all five top leagues, with kick-off times in CET, fair odds for the biggest games and the matches where the numbers are closest.

Kick-off times and time zones

All times in this post are CET (UTC+1). Europe moved its clocks back on Sunday 25 October, so the UK is now one hour behind CET. The US and most of Canada change on Sunday 1 November at 2:00 local time, so the gap moves during the weekend. On Friday and Saturday, US Eastern time is five hours behind CET, and from Sunday it is six hours behind. Bayern vs Dortmund on Saturday starts at 13:30 ET, while Liverpool vs Arsenal on Sunday starts at 11:30 ET.

Confirmed line-ups are usually published about an hour before kick-off.

Fair odds for the big matches

Fair odds are 1 divided by the SportRadar probability. If a bookmaker offers a higher number than the fair price, that price is longer than the model suggests.

Premier League predictions

This section covers Liverpool vs Arsenal, Chelsea vs Manchester United and Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion, plus the rest of matchday 9. City and Arsenal are level at the top on 21 points. City lead on goal difference despite losing 2-1 at Aston Villa last Saturday. Brighton are third on 16 and Liverpool fourth on 15.

Who will win Liverpool vs Arsenal?

Arsenal are the favourites at Anfield. SportRadar gives Arsenal 40.5%, the draw 27.3% and Liverpool 32.2%. Kick-off is on Sunday 1 November at 17:30 CET (16:30 UK). Fair odds are 2.47 for an Arsenal win, 3.66 for the draw and 3.11 for Liverpool.

Liverpool beat Brighton 2-0 at Anfield on Sunday, with a Pascal Gross own goal and an Alexander Isak finish, for a fourth straight win in all competitions. Arsenal beat Everton 2-0 on Saturday with set piece goals from Ezri Konsa and Gabriel, three days after a Champions League draw away to Bayern. According to theScore, the last meeting ended 0-0 in January 2026. Before that, Liverpool won 1-0 at Anfield in August 2025, according to Sports Mole. Isak has scored in three Premier League games running, so “Isak to score” is the main Liverpool angle, and Gabriel’s header against Everton makes “Gabriel anytime scorer” the set piece option for Arsenal.

Who will win Chelsea vs Manchester United?

Chelsea are clear favourites at Stamford Bridge. SportRadar has Chelsea at 52.3%, the draw at 24.1% and United at 23.6%. Kick-off is on Saturday 31 October at 13:30 CET (12:30 UK). Fair odds are 1.91 for Chelsea, 4.15 for the draw and 4.24 for United.

Chelsea lost 2-0 at home to Tottenham Hotspur last Saturday, a week after Pedro Neto scored twice in a 2-0 win at Everton. United lost 3-0 at Old Trafford to AFC Bournemouth on Sunday and sit 16th with one league win from eight games. According to theScore, United won the last meeting 1-0 on 18 April 2026. After his double at Everton, “Pedro Neto to score” is the Chelsea search. For United, Bryan Mbeumo scored in the 1-1 draw with Tottenham on 10 October, which makes “Mbeumo anytime scorer” the United pick.

Manchester City vs Brighton prediction

City are 58.8% favourites at home to Brighton on Saturday at 16:00 CET (15:00 UK). The draw is 21.1% and Brighton are 20.1%, with fair odds of 1.70 for City. Both teams come in off a defeat: City lost for the first time this season at Villa Park, and Brighton lost 2-0 at Anfield.

Other Premier League matches:

• Bournemouth vs Leeds United, Sat 16:00 (Bournemouth 44.9%)
• Brentford vs Nottingham Forest, Sat 16:00 (Brentford 46.5%)
• Coventry City vs Sunderland, Sat 16:00 (Sunderland 40.8%)
• Hull City vs Ipswich Town, Sat 16:00 (Hull 36.9%, Ipswich 35.7%)
• Tottenham vs Crystal Palace, Sat 18:30 (Tottenham 62.3%)
• Aston Villa vs Fulham, Sat 21:00 (Villa 48.7%)
• Newcastle United vs Everton, Mon 2 Nov 21:00 (Newcastle 41.7%)

LaLiga predictions

This section covers Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad and the leaders’ home game, FC Barcelona vs Deportivo Alavés, plus the rest of the round. Barcelona top the table on 27 points despite losing 2-1 at home to Real Madrid in El Clásico last Sunday. Atlético Madrid are second on 25 and Real Madrid third on 24.

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad prediction

Athletic are 44.7% favourites in the Basque derby on Sunday at 21:00 CET. The draw is 25.9% and Real Sociedad are 29.4%, with fair odds of 2.24 for Athletic. Athletic beat Getafe 4-0 last weekend but sit eighth on 12 points. Real Sociedad beat Levante 2-1 and are fifth on 19.

Barcelona vs Alavés prediction

Barcelona are the biggest favourites in Europe’s top five leagues this weekend. SportRadar gives them 88.9%, the draw 7.5% and Alavés 3.6%. Kick-off is on Saturday at 21:00 CET. Barcelona need a reaction after the Clásico defeat, and Alavés drew 1-1 with Málaga last Friday.

Other LaLiga matches:

• Villarreal vs Espanyol, Fri 21:00 (Villarreal 67.6%)
• Levante vs Atlético, Sat 14:00 (Atlético 61.2%)
• Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo, Sat 16:15 (Rayo 39.8%)
• Real Betis vs Málaga, Sat 18:30 (Betis 71.1%)
• Getafe vs Sevilla, Sun 14:00 (Sevilla 38.4%, draw 31.6%)
• Racing Santander vs Real Madrid, Sun 16:15 (Real Madrid 80.5%)
• Elche vs Valencia, Sun 18:30 (Elche 38.9%)
• Deportivo La Coruña vs Osasuna, Mon 2 Nov 21:00 (Deportivo 43.7%)

Serie A predictions

This section covers AC Milan vs Inter Milan and Juventus vs Napoli, plus the rest of the weekend. Inter and Lazio share first place on 25 points, Roma are third on 21 and Milan are fifth on 18. Serie A played a midweek round from Tuesday to Thursday, so all four teams in the two big games played on Wednesday, and two matches are still to come tonight.

Wednesday 28 October results:

• Milan 2-4 Bologna
• Parma 0-0 Udinese
• Venezia 0-2 Inter
• Genoa 2-0 Juventus
• Monza 1-4 Napoli

Thursday 29 October:

• Frosinone vs Lecce, 18:30 (Frosinone 55.7%)
• Fiorentina vs Atalanta, 20:45 (Fiorentina 41.0%, Atalanta 32.8%)

Who will win AC Milan vs Inter Milan?

Inter are the favourites in the Derby della Madonnina. SportRadar gives Inter 48.3%, the draw 25.1% and Milan 26.6%. Kick-off is on Saturday 31 October at 20:45 CET. Fair odds are 2.07 for Inter, 3.98 for the draw and 3.76 for Milan.

Milan won 2-0 at Udinese on Sunday with goals from Christian Pulisic and Omari Hutchinson, then lost 4-2 at home to Bologna on Wednesday, their first league defeat of the season. Inter beat Fiorentina 2-1 on Sunday and won 2-0 at Venezia on Wednesday, so they are still unbeaten in Serie A with eight wins and a draw. According to Reuters, Milan won the last derby 1-0 in March 2026 through Pervis Estupiñán, completing a league double with two 1-0 wins. Marcus Thuram scored against Fiorentina and leads Inter with five league goals according to Fox Sports, so “Thuram to score” is the Inter pick. For Milan, “Pulisic goal prediction” follows his goal in Udine.

Juventus vs Napoli prediction

Juventus are 42.8% favourites at home to Napoli on Sunday at 20:45 CET. The draw is 27.8% and Napoli are 29.4%, with fair odds of 2.34 for Juventus. Both teams have 14 points. Juventus lost 2-0 at Genoa on Wednesday, while Napoli won 4-1 at Monza.

Other Serie A matches this weekend:

• Bologna vs Monza, Sat 15:00 (Bologna 55.8%)
• Udinese vs Roma, Sat 18:00 (Roma 62.9%)
• Como vs Venezia, Sun 12:30 (Como 74.4%)
• Frosinone vs Torino, Sun 15:00 (Frosinone 43.6%)
• Lazio vs Cagliari, Sun 15:00 (Lazio 68.1%)
• Lecce vs Genoa, Sun 18:00 (Genoa 38.0%, draw 30.3%)

Bundesliga predictions

This section covers Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund and Union Berlin vs 1. FC Cologne, plus the rest of matchday 8. Bayern and Dortmund are level on 17 points with five wins and two draws each, and Bayern lead on goal difference. SC Freiburg and Bayer Leverkusen follow on 13.

Who will win Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund?

Bayern are heavy favourites in Der Klassiker. SportRadar gives Bayern 71.7%, the draw 15.1% and Dortmund 13.2%. Kick-off at the Allianz Arena is on Saturday 31 October at 18:30 CET. Fair odds are 1.39 for Bayern, 6.62 for the draw and 7.58 for Dortmund.

Bayern won 3-1 at Freiburg on Sunday with goals from Dayot Upamecano, Serge Gnabry and Michael Olise, after drawing with Arsenal in the Champions League last week. Dortmund beat Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 last Saturday with an 80th minute winner from substitute Maximilian Beier, after two league draws in a row. According to theScore, Bayern won the last meeting 3-2 on 28 February 2026. “Olise to score” is the main Bayern search after his stoppage time goal in Freiburg. For Dortmund, Serhou Guirassy scored twice in the Champions League win over Sabah last week, which makes “Guirassy anytime scorer” the pick.

Union Berlin vs Cologne prediction

This is the most even match of the weekend. SportRadar gives Union and Cologne 36.9% each, with the draw at 26.2%, so fair odds are 2.71 for either side. Kick-off is on Sunday at 15:30 CET. Union are 17th on 6 points after a 1-1 draw at Augsburg, and Cologne are 12th on 8 after a goalless draw with Schalke.

Other Bundesliga matches:

• SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz, Fri 20:30 (Mainz 44.0%)
• Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart, Sat 15:30 (Leverkusen 53.7%)
• FC Augsburg vs Freiburg, Sat 15:30 (Freiburg 43.5%)
• Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn, Sat 15:30 (Gladbach 48.4%)
• Werder Bremen vs TSG Hoffenheim, Sat 15:30 (Hoffenheim 42.2%)
• Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig, Sat 15:30 (Leipzig 52.0%)
• Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV, Sun 17:30 (Frankfurt 60.1%)

Ligue 1 predictions

This section covers Lille OSC vs RC Lens and Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain on Friday, plus the rest of the round. PSG lead on 17 points after beating Olympique Lyon 2-0 on Monday, one point ahead of Stade Rennais. Lille and AS Monaco are on 15.

Lille vs Lens prediction

Lille are narrow 38.1% favourites in the Derby du Nord on Friday at 21:05 CET. The draw is 26.5% and Lens are 35.4%, with fair odds of 2.62 for Lille. Lille drew 1-1 at Monaco last Sunday and Lens beat Paris FC 2-1, which leaves them two points apart in third and seventh.

Le Havre vs PSG prediction

PSG are 78.1% favourites at Le Havre on Friday at 19:00 CET. The draw is 12.9% and Le Havre are 9.0%, with fair odds of 1.28 for PSG. Le Havre are bottom with two points after losing 4-3 at Olympique Marseille last weekend.

Other Ligue 1 matches:

• OGC Nice vs Rennes, Fri 19:00 (Rennes 39.1%, Nice 35.4%)
• ESTAC Troyes vs Le Mans FC, Sat 20:45 (Troyes 40.6%)
• RC Strasbourg vs AJ Auxerre, Sun 15:00 (Strasbourg 52.1%)
• Lyon vs Angers SCO, Sun 17:15 (Lyon 69.4%)
• Paris FC vs Monaco, Sun 17:15 (Paris FC 41.9%)
• Marseille vs Toulouse FC, Sun 20:45 (Marseille 50.0%)
• FC Lorient vs Stade Brest, Mon 2 Nov 20:45 (Lorient 39.0%)

The most open matches of the weekend

These are the games where SportRadar’s numbers are closest, so a draw or a small upset is a real possibility:

• Union Berlin vs Cologne: 36.9% / 26.2% / 36.9%
• Hull vs Ipswich: 36.9% / 27.4% / 35.7%, the most open Premier League game, with both teams on 10 points
• Lille vs Lens: 38.1% / 26.5% / 35.4%
• Getafe vs Sevilla: 30.0% / 31.6% / 38.4%, the highest draw figure of the weekend
• Lecce vs Genoa: 31.7% / 30.3% / 38.0%

How to read the probabilities

A 40% chance means the model expects that result about four times in ten if the same match were played many times. To get fair odds, divide 1 by the probability. For Arsenal at Anfield, 1 / 0.405 gives 2.47, so a $10 stake at that price would return $24.70. Bookmaker prices are usually a little shorter than fair odds because they include a margin. When a price is longer than the fair number, the market sees the match differently from SportRadar. Even a 52% favourite fails to win almost half the time, so use these numbers as a guide to the chances.

What comes next

After this round, the Bundesliga’s next matchday opens on Friday 6 November with Hamburger SV vs Gladbach at 20:30 CET. Ligue 1 starts its next round the same evening with Toulouse vs Strasbourg at 20:45 CET. In the Premier League, Chelsea visit Sunderland on 8 November.

FAQ

Who will win Bayern vs Dortmund?

Bayern are favourites at 71.7%, with the draw at 15.1% and Dortmund at 13.2%. Kick-off is on Saturday 31 October at 18:30 CET.

Who will win Liverpool vs Arsenal?

Arsenal are favourites at 40.5%, with the draw at 27.3% and Liverpool at 32.2%. Kick-off is on Sunday 1 November at 17:30 CET (16:30 UK).

Who will win Milan vs Inter?

Inter are favourites at 48.3%, with the draw at 25.1% and Milan at 26.6%. Kick-off is on Saturday 31 October at 20:45 CET.

Who will win Chelsea vs Manchester United?

Chelsea are favourites at 52.3%, with the draw at 24.1% and United at 23.6%. Kick-off is on Saturday 31 October at 13:30 CET (12:30 UK).

What is the most open Premier League match this weekend?

Hull vs Ipswich, with Hull on 36.9%, the draw on 27.4% and Ipswich on 35.7%. Kick-off is on Saturday at 16:00 CET (15:00 UK).

Do the clocks change this weekend?

Europe already moved its clocks back on 25 October. The US and most of Canada go back one hour on Sunday 1 November at 2:00 local time, so US Eastern time is five hours behind CET on Friday and Saturday and six hours behind from Sunday.

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