Our Heritage Classic prediction starts with a caveat: the Jets and Canadiens meet outdoors in Winnipeg on Sunday 25 October, and no win probabilities were available when we wrote this. What we have is form and schedule. Both clubs are 4-3 in wins and regulation losses, Winnipeg have lost their last two games, and Montreal play at Chicago on Friday night before travelling west. Puck drop is 6 p.m. CDT, which is midnight in Poland on Monday.

Heritage Classic prediction: start time and where to watch

The game is at Princess Auto Stadium in Winnipeg on Sunday 25 October, with puck drop at 6 p.m. CDT, which is 23:00 UTC. In your time zone that is:

• Poland, Germany, France, Italy and Spain: 00:00 on Monday 26 October
• London: 23:00 on Sunday
• Winnipeg: 18:00
• Montreal, Toronto and New York: 19:00
• Edmonton and Calgary: 17:00
• Vancouver: 16:00
• São Paulo: 20:00
• Mexico City: 17:00
• Dubai: 03:00 on Monday

According to the NHL, it is on Sportsnet and TVA Sports in Canada, and on TBS and Max in the United States. Elsewhere, check your local rights holder.

Jets vs Canadiens: form and what to watch

Winnipeg are 4-3 in wins and regulation losses and sit 10th in the Western Conference. They lost 2-1 at St. Louis on Tuesday night and 3-2 at Dallas on Thursday night, so both recent defeats were by one goal. Montreal are also 4-3 and 12th in the East. They had no game between Tuesday and Thursday, then visit Chicago on Friday night.

World in Sport counted 34 goals conceded by Montreal in nine games against 26 for Winnipeg, which suggests the Canadiens’ defence has been the weaker of the two so far. Against St. Louis, the same source says the Jets created chances but did not take enough of them. That is the central question for bettors: can the Jets turn their chances into goals against a team that has been conceding more.

The schedule also matters. Winnipeg last played on Thursday night and have two full days off. Montreal play in Chicago on Friday night and then have one day to travel to Winnipeg. Rest is not decisive on its own, but it favours the home side. Winnipeg also lost the last Heritage Classic they hosted, 3-0 to Edmonton in 2016.

Heritage Classic prediction: betting angles

We have no probability or price for this game, so we are not giving a pick. Here is what to check before you stake anything.

• Starting goaltenders: they are confirmed on game day, and in a close game they matter more than any price.
• Weather and ice: outdoor conditions can change the pace. There is no solid sample to say whether that favours the under, so do not assume it.
• Montreal’s result in Chicago on Friday night: a heavy game or an injury the day before can change the line.
• Line movement: if the price shifts a lot before puck drop, find out why.

There is no draw in the NHL moneyline: a tied game goes to overtime and then a shootout. The main markets are the moneyline (who wins, including overtime), the puck line (a goal handicap) and the total goals.

Other Canadian games this weekend

Times are in Polish time, so the North American date is the day before for most games. Win probabilities are from SportRadar where available.

• Chicago vs Montreal, Saturday 24 October, 02:00 CEST (Friday night in Chicago): Montreal 57.3%, Chicago 42.7%
• Edmonton vs Toronto, Sunday 25 October, 01:00 CEST: no probabilities yet
• Ottawa vs New York Rangers, Sunday 25 October, 01:00 CEST: no probabilities yet
• Calgary vs Detroit, Sunday 25 October, 03:00 CET: no probabilities yet
• Winnipeg vs Montreal (Heritage Classic), Monday 26 October, 00:00 CET

Vancouver have no game in the listings we have for the weekend. Elsewhere, Colorado host Tampa Bay on Saturday at 03:00 CEST, with Colorado at 53.8% and Tampa Bay at 46.2%.

This week’s results for the Canadian clubs

Dates are North American evenings. Scores are winner first.

• Edmonton: beat Minnesota 4-3 on Tuesday and Carolina 6-5 on Thursday
• Winnipeg: lost 2-1 at St. Louis on Tuesday and 3-2 at Dallas on Thursday
• Ottawa: beat Florida 5-1 on Wednesday, then lost 6-2 at home to San Jose on Thursday
• Toronto: beat the New York Rangers 5-4 at home on Thursday
• Calgary: beat Minnesota 2-1 at home on Thursday
• Vancouver: lost 6-3 to Carolina on Tuesday and 5-2 to Detroit on Thursday
• Montreal: no game from Tuesday to Thursday

NHL standings snapshot

The win-loss counts in our data leave out overtime losses, so this is not a points table. Edmonton lead the West at 8-1, ahead of Vegas (8-4) and Seattle (7-3). In the East, Carolina and Boston are both 8-2, with Tampa Bay at 7-2.

Among the Canadian clubs, Edmonton are first in the West, Ottawa fifth in the East at 7-4 and Toronto sixth at 6-4. Winnipeg are 10th in the West at 4-3, Montreal 12th in the East at 4-3, Calgary 14th in the West at 3-6, and Vancouver last in the West at 2-9.

Elsewhere this week: Boston beat Nashville 6-0, Pittsburgh beat Florida 4-0, Tampa Bay won 6-2 at Vegas, and St. Louis beat Vegas 6-2.

How to read these numbers

A win probability tells you how often a result should happen over many games, not what will happen in one. To turn a bookmaker’s price into a probability, divide 1 by the price: odds of 2.00 equal 50%. The prices on a game always add up to more than 100%, and the difference is the bookmaker’s margin.

A short price is not an opportunity by itself. Odds of 1.20 imply more than 83% and pay little for the risk.

What’s next

We review the Heritage Classic on Monday 26 October. Montreal and Winnipeg meet again on Tuesday 3 November, according to ESPN’s schedule, and the NHL Global Series games in Helsinki are on 12 and 14 November.

FAQ

When is the NHL Heritage Classic?
Sunday 25 October 2026, at 6 p.m. CDT. That is 00:00 on Monday 26 October in Poland, Germany, France, Italy and Spain.

Who is playing in the Heritage Classic?
The Winnipeg Jets host the Montreal Canadiens at Princess Auto Stadium in Winnipeg.

Who is the favourite?
We do not have a published probability or price for this game. Both teams are 4-3 in wins and regulation losses, and Winnipeg have more rest.

Where can I watch the Heritage Classic?
On Sportsnet and TVA Sports in Canada, and on TBS and Max in the United States, according to the NHL.

Who leads the NHL right now?
Edmonton lead the Western Conference at 8-1. In the East, Carolina and Boston are both 8-2.

18+. Gambling involves risk and can be addictive. Never stake more than you can afford to lose. Probabilities are from a model and can change before the game. This is analysis, not a promise of any result.