Atalanta vs Parma Calcio 1913 Prediction & Betting Tips – Serie A

Published Oct 30, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026

12 mins read

Serie A

Atalanta

Mon, 02 Nov, 19:45

Parma Calcio 1913

Home

1.47

Draw

4.33

Away

5.7

Bet now

Atalanta Target Stability Against Struggling Parma

Atalanta recorded a 2-2 draw against Fiorentina on October 29, demonstrating an ongoing pattern of heavy scoring paired with defensive instability. That result leaves Atalanta sitting 12th in Serie A with 11 points from nine matches. Parma Calcio 1913 enter Monday, 2 Nov 2026 at 19:45 UTC in 19th position after earning a 0-0 draw against Udinese. Five points from nine league fixtures leaves Parma inside the relegation zone as both sides prepare for this fixture.

Defensive Issues Limit Atalanta Despite Strong Attack

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Result
2026-10-29	Serie A	Fiorentina	2-2	Draw
2026-10-25	Serie A	Frosinone	4-4	Draw
2026-10-22	UEFA Europa Conference League	Ajax	0-2	Loss
2026-10-18	Serie A	AC Milan	2-3	Loss
2026-10-15	UEFA Europa Conference League	Pafos	3-1	Win

Average Goals Scored:2.2 goals/game

Average Goals Conceded:2.4 conceded/game

Current Form:DDLLW

High attacking production has characterized Atalanta’s recent matches, as they average 2.2 goals/game across their last five fixtures in all competitions. However, their backline has leaked an average of 2.4 conceded/game, resulting in a DDLLW record over that span. The absence of defender I. Hien further complicates their defensive structure after conceding 11 goals across four consecutive matches prior to this fixture.

Parma Struggle for Goals Amid Poor Form

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Result
2026-10-28	Serie A	Udinese	0-0	Draw
2026-10-24	Serie A	Lazio	1-2	Loss
2026-10-19	Serie A	Torino	0-3	Loss
2026-10-10	Serie A	Inter	0-3	Loss
2026-09-20	Serie A	Genoa	2-1	Win

Average Goals Scored:0.6 goals/game

Average Goals Conceded:1.8 conceded/game

Current Form:DLLLW

Parma Calcio 1913 continue to struggle in front of goal, averaging just 0.6 goals/game across their recent five-match stretch in all competitions. Their recent form reads DLLLW, having conceded 1.8 conceded/game while suffering three defeats. Without any key absences reported, Parma must find ways to increase goal creation to climb out of the bottom two.

Atalanta Hold Advantage in Recent Meetings

Over the last four encounters between these clubs, Atalanta hold the advantage with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 win for Parma Calcio 1913. The most recent meeting on January 25, 2026 ended in a 4-0 win for Atalanta. Prior to that, Parma earned a 3-2 victory in May 2025, showing that matches between these teams frequently yield multiple goals.

Date	Competition	Match	Score	Winner
2026-01-25	Serie A	Atalanta vs Parma	4-0	Atalanta
2025-08-30	Serie A	Parma vs Atalanta	1-1	Draw
2025-05-25	Serie A	Atalanta vs Parma	2-3	Parma
2024-11-23	Serie A	Parma vs Atalanta	1-3	Atalanta

Atalanta Wins:2

Draws:1

Parma Calcio 1913 Wins:1

Predicted Lineups and Absence of I. Hien

Atalanta – Predicted XI

3-4-2-1

Position	Player
Goalkeeper	M. Carnesecchi
Defender	O. Kossounou
Defender	G. Scalvini
Defender	S. Kolašinac
Defender	R. Bellanova
Defender	D. Zappacosta
Midfielder	Éderson
Midfielder	Mario Pasalic
Midfielder	C. De Ketelaere
Midfielder	L. Samardžić
Attacker	G. Scamacca

Parma Calcio 1913 – Predicted XI

4-3-3

Position	Player
Goalkeeper	E. Corvi
Defender	E. Del Prato
Defender	Diego Carlos
Defender	L. Valenti
Defender	E. Valeri
Midfielder	Adrián Bernabé
Midfielder	M. Keita
Midfielder	G. Fabbian
Attacker	P. Almqvist
Attacker	M. Frigan
Attacker	D. Romero

Team News

Atalanta absences: I. Hien.

Parma Calcio 1913 absences: No key absences.

Betting Odds Offer No Positive Expected Value

Bookmakers list Atalanta at odds of 1.47, with the draw at 4.33 and Parma Calcio 1913 at 5.7. Our independent model assesses Atalanta’s win probability at 62%, which translates to a negative expected value of -8.9% at current market prices. The draw (22% probability) and Parma win (16% probability) also offer negative expected returns of -4.7% and -8.8% respectively. Due to the lack of positive margin across all main selections, our analytical model recommends passing on the match outcome markets.

Market	Selection	Odds	Value Rating
Match Result	Atalanta	1.47	No value
Draw	Draw	4.33	No value
Match Result	Parma Calcio 1913	5.7	No value

Model Summary and Final Match Assessment

Atalanta’s superior scoring rate of 2.2 goals per game makes them the most likely winning side despite defensive deficiencies. However, market pricing eliminates any statistical value on the home team or any alternative result outcome. The model projection favors a disciplined approach with no recommended wager.

Predicted Score	Atalanta 2-1 Parma Calcio 1913
Most Likely Result	Home Win
Recommended Bet	No bet – no value vs odds

How This Prediction Was Made

This prediction was prepared by Javier Torres. The pick combines Javier’s experience following European football with data gathered for this specific match. Data used: current league table, each team’s last five results, head-to-head history, injury and suspension news, pre-match odds, our own outcome probabilities.

Responsible Gambling

18+. This prediction is an opinion based on data, not a guarantee. Betting involves risk – only stake what you can afford to lose and gamble responsibly.

Bet now

Javier Torres

Sports Journalist

218 art.

Based in Madrid, Spain, Javier is a sports journalist with a broad passion for multiple disciplines, including football, basketball, volleyball, and tennis. He follows events across top leagues and international competitions, focusing on form, tactics, key matchups, and the bigger sporting context. Javier presents his insights and match opinions in a clear, accessible, and fan-friendly way, making complex sports stories easy to follow for both casual fans and seasoned followers alike.