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Parma Calcio 1913 vs Torino Prediction & Betting Tips – Serie A

Published Oct 18, 2026
Updated Oct 18, 2026
11 mins read
parma-calcio-1913
serie-a
Serie A
torino
Parma Calcio 1913
Mon, 19 Oct, 18:45
Torino
Match Finished
0:3
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Parma Calcio 1913 welcome Torino to the Stadio Ennio Tardini on Monday, 19 Oct 2026 at 18:45 UTC in a crucial Monday night Serie A clash. The home side enter this fixture hovering precariously in 16th place with just four points from six matches, eager to arrest a worrying slump in form. Torino sit in 13th position with seven points, seeking to build on recent momentum and distance themselves from the lower half of the table. With both sides struggling for goalscoring consistency, tactical discipline and defensive execution will prove paramount in determining the outcome.

Parma Calcio 1913 – Team Analysis

Date Competition Opponent Score Result
2026-10-10 Serie A Inter 0-3 Loss
2026-09-20 Serie A Genoa 2-1 Win
2026-09-14 Serie A Como 1-2 Loss
2026-09-06 Serie A Monza 1-1 Draw
2026-09-01 Coppa Italia Cremonese 0-2 Loss
Average Goals Scored:0.8 goals/game
Average Goals Conceded:1.8 conceded/game
Current Form:LWLDL

Parma Calcio 1913 continue to grapple with severe structural challenges at both ends of the pitch, registering just a single win in their last five outings across all competitions. A porous defense conceding 1.8 goals per match has made maintaining advantages difficult, highlighted by their heavy 3-0 home defeat against Inter last time out. Compounded by key offensive injuries and a laboring attack producing only 0.8 goals per game, Parma face an uphill battle to establish control.

Torino – Team Analysis

Date Competition Opponent Score Result
2026-10-12 Serie A Udinese 2-1 Win
2026-09-19 Serie A Bologna 1-1 Draw
2026-09-14 Serie A AS Roma 0-2 Loss
2026-09-05 Serie A Fiorentina 2-1 Win
2026-09-01 Coppa Italia Monza 0-1 Loss
Average Goals Scored:1.0 goals/game
Average Goals Conceded:1.2 conceded/game
Current Form:WDLWL

Torino enter this fixture displaying far greater overall stability, having secured seven points from their last four league matches across all competitions. Their 2-1 victory over Udinese highlighted their tactical resilience and superior efficiency in front of goal compared to their opponents. Operating with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match, Il Toro boast the organizational cohesion needed to punish Parma’s leaky backline.

Head-to-Head Record

Date Competition Match Score Winner
2026-03-13 Serie A Torino vs Parma 4-1 Torino
2025-09-29 Serie A Parma vs Torino 2-1 Parma
2025-03-08 Serie A Parma vs Torino 2-2 Draw
2025-01-05 Serie A Torino vs Parma 0-0 Draw
Parma Calcio 1913 Wins:1
Draws:2
Torino Wins:1

Predicted Starting Lineups

Parma Calcio 1913 – Predicted XI

4-4-2
Position Player
Goalkeeper G. Daffara
Midfielder E. Del Prato
Defender Diego Carlos
Midfielder E. Valeri
Defender F. Carboni
Midfielder Adrián Bernabé
Midfielder V. Sierro
Midfielder M. Keita
Attacker G. Fabbian
Attacker M. Frigan
Attacker D. Romero

Torino – Predicted XI

4-3-3
Position Player
Goalkeeper Lucas Perri
Defender N. Patterson
Defender Saúl Coco
Defender A. Ismajli
Defender C. Biraghi
Midfielder R. Mandragora
Midfielder C. Casadei
Midfielder N. Vlašić
Midfielder G. Oristanio
Attacker Z. Aboukhlal
Attacker D. Zapata

Team News

Parma Calcio 1913 absences: P. Almqvist, A. Ndiaye, H. Nicolussi Caviglia, P. Almqvist, A. Ndiaye, H. Nicolussi Caviglia.

Torino absences: F. Israel, N. Fortini, E. Ilkhan, F. Israel, N. Fortini, E. Ilkhan.

Betting Analysis & Tips

Bookmakers have installed Torino as slight away favorites at odds of 2.41, but our proprietary statistical model identifies significant underlying value on this selection. While implied market probability sets Torino’s victory chance near 41.5%, our assessment calculates a true win probability of 47% for the visitors, yielding a attractive +13.3% expected value edge. Conversely, Parma’s ongoing defensive frailties (1.8 goals conceded per game) and poor recent form (LWLDL) make the home win at 3.17 (-8.1% EV) and the Draw at 2.94 (-29.4% EV) unappealing options for value bettors.

Market Selection Odds Value Rating
Match Result Parma Calcio 1913 3.17 No value
Draw Draw 2.94 No value
Match Result Torino 2.41 ★★ Value

Final Prediction

Torino’s superior tactical structure and higher quality in midfield should give them control of tempo against a depleted Parma squad. Expect the visitors to capitalize on Parma’s persistent defensive vulnerabilities to secure a narrow, hard-fought victory on the road.

Predicted Score Parma Calcio 1913 0-1 Torino
Most Likely Result Away Win
Recommended Bet Away Win @ 2.41 (EV +13%)

Responsible Gambling

This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Oliver Grant
Oliver Grant
football Football Expert
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Football tactical analyst from London, UK. Oliver has over a 8 years of experience covering European Leagues and UEFA competitions. Known for his data-driven insights and calm, analytical style.

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