Parma Calcio 1913 vs Torino Prediction & Betting Tips – Serie A
Match Preview
Parma Calcio 1913 welcome Torino to the Stadio Ennio Tardini on Monday, 19 Oct 2026 at 18:45 UTC in a crucial Monday night Serie A clash. The home side enter this fixture hovering precariously in 16th place with just four points from six matches, eager to arrest a worrying slump in form. Torino sit in 13th position with seven points, seeking to build on recent momentum and distance themselves from the lower half of the table. With both sides struggling for goalscoring consistency, tactical discipline and defensive execution will prove paramount in determining the outcome.
Parma Calcio 1913 – Team Analysis
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Serie A | Inter | 0-3 | Loss |
| 2026-09-20 | Serie A | Genoa | 2-1 | Win |
| 2026-09-14 | Serie A | Como | 1-2 | Loss |
| 2026-09-06 | Serie A | Monza | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2026-09-01 | Coppa Italia | Cremonese | 0-2 | Loss |
Parma Calcio 1913 continue to grapple with severe structural challenges at both ends of the pitch, registering just a single win in their last five outings across all competitions. A porous defense conceding 1.8 goals per match has made maintaining advantages difficult, highlighted by their heavy 3-0 home defeat against Inter last time out. Compounded by key offensive injuries and a laboring attack producing only 0.8 goals per game, Parma face an uphill battle to establish control.
Torino – Team Analysis
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Serie A | Udinese | 2-1 | Win |
| 2026-09-19 | Serie A | Bologna | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2026-09-14 | Serie A | AS Roma | 0-2 | Loss |
| 2026-09-05 | Serie A | Fiorentina | 2-1 | Win |
| 2026-09-01 | Coppa Italia | Monza | 0-1 | Loss |
Torino enter this fixture displaying far greater overall stability, having secured seven points from their last four league matches across all competitions. Their 2-1 victory over Udinese highlighted their tactical resilience and superior efficiency in front of goal compared to their opponents. Operating with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match, Il Toro boast the organizational cohesion needed to punish Parma’s leaky backline.
Head-to-Head Record
| Date | Competition | Match | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | Serie A | Torino vs Parma | 4-1 | Torino |
| 2025-09-29 | Serie A | Parma vs Torino | 2-1 | Parma |
| 2025-03-08 | Serie A | Parma vs Torino | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2025-01-05 | Serie A | Torino vs Parma | 0-0 | Draw |
Predicted Starting Lineups
Parma Calcio 1913 – Predicted XI
| Position | Player |
|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | G. Daffara |
| Midfielder | E. Del Prato |
| Defender | Diego Carlos |
| Midfielder | E. Valeri |
| Defender | F. Carboni |
| Midfielder | Adrián Bernabé |
| Midfielder | V. Sierro |
| Midfielder | M. Keita |
| Attacker | G. Fabbian |
| Attacker | M. Frigan |
| Attacker | D. Romero |
Torino – Predicted XI
| Position | Player |
|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | Lucas Perri |
| Defender | N. Patterson |
| Defender | Saúl Coco |
| Defender | A. Ismajli |
| Defender | C. Biraghi |
| Midfielder | R. Mandragora |
| Midfielder | C. Casadei |
| Midfielder | N. Vlašić |
| Midfielder | G. Oristanio |
| Attacker | Z. Aboukhlal |
| Attacker | D. Zapata |
Team News
Parma Calcio 1913 absences: P. Almqvist, A. Ndiaye, H. Nicolussi Caviglia, P. Almqvist, A. Ndiaye, H. Nicolussi Caviglia.
Torino absences: F. Israel, N. Fortini, E. Ilkhan, F. Israel, N. Fortini, E. Ilkhan.
Betting Analysis & Tips
Bookmakers have installed Torino as slight away favorites at odds of 2.41, but our proprietary statistical model identifies significant underlying value on this selection. While implied market probability sets Torino’s victory chance near 41.5%, our assessment calculates a true win probability of 47% for the visitors, yielding a attractive +13.3% expected value edge. Conversely, Parma’s ongoing defensive frailties (1.8 goals conceded per game) and poor recent form (LWLDL) make the home win at 3.17 (-8.1% EV) and the Draw at 2.94 (-29.4% EV) unappealing options for value bettors.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Value Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Parma Calcio 1913 | 3.17 | No value |
| Draw | Draw | 2.94 | No value |
| Match Result | Torino | 2.41 | ★★ Value |
Final Prediction
Torino’s superior tactical structure and higher quality in midfield should give them control of tempo against a depleted Parma squad. Expect the visitors to capitalize on Parma’s persistent defensive vulnerabilities to secure a narrow, hard-fought victory on the road.
| Predicted Score | Parma Calcio 1913 0-1 Torino |
| Most Likely Result | Away Win |
| Recommended Bet | Away Win @ 2.41 (EV +13%) |
Responsible Gambling
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