Hull City vs Everton Prediction & Betting Tips – Premier League
Match Preview
Hull City host Everton on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 13:00 UTC at the MKM Stadium in an intriguing Premier League encounter. Both sides enter this fixture with distinct tactical profiles, with Hull aiming to arrest a inconsistent run while Everton seek to capitalize on their recent defensive solidity across all competitions. With the bookmakers listing Everton as slight road favorites at odds of 2.0, the value proposition requires careful evaluation against internal predictive modeling.
Hull City – Team Analysis
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Premier League | Newcastle | 1-2 | Loss |
| 2026-09-12 | Premier League | Chelsea | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2026-09-08 | League Cup | Sunderland | 0-1 | Loss |
| 2026-09-05 | Premier League | Aston Villa | 0-0 | Draw |
| 2026-08-29 | Premier League | Coventry | 1-0 | Win |
Hull City have struggled to convert opportunities into victories in recent weeks, posting a form record of LDLDW across their last five matches in all competitions. While their defensive shape has remained relatively stable—conceding an average of 0.6 to 1.0 goals per game—an offensive output of just 0.8 goals per match severely limits their winning threat. Against organized top-flight backlines, Hull often find themselves forced into low-margin contests where single errors prove decisive.
Everton – Team Analysis
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Premier League | Ipswich | 1-0 | Win |
| 2026-09-16 | League Cup | Wolves | 1-0 | Win |
| 2026-09-12 | Premier League | Tottenham | 0-0 | Draw |
| 2026-09-06 | Premier League | Manchester United | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2026-08-29 | Premier League | Bournemouth | 1-1 | Draw |
Everton head into this clash on an encouraging five-match unbeaten run across all competitions (WWDDD), anchored by two consecutive 1-0 shutout victories against Ipswich and Wolves. Their backline has yielded an impressive average of only 0.6 goals conceded per game, providing a sturdy foundation under pressure. Combined with a disciplined attack averaging 1.0 goals per match, Everton present a resilient profile that excels at grinding out narrow results on the road.
Head-to-Head Record
| Date | Competition | Match | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-08 | FA Cup – 3rd Round | Hull City vs Everton | 2-3 | Everton |
Predicted Starting Lineups
Hull City – Predicted XI
| Position | Player |
|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | J. Butland |
| Defender | L. Coyle |
| Defender | S. Ajayi |
| Defender | J. Egan |
| Defender | R. Giles |
| Midfielder | H. Morita |
| Midfielder | E. Matazo |
| Attacker | M. Belloumi |
| Midfielder | A. Ömür |
| Attacker | S. Thomas |
| Attacker | O. McBurnie |
Everton – Predicted XI
| Position | Player |
|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | J. Pickford |
| Defender | A. Maitland-Niles |
| Defender | M. Keane |
| Defender | J. O'Brien |
| Defender | V. Mykolenko |
| Midfielder | C. Nørgaard |
| Midfielder | H. Hackney |
| Attacker | T. Dibling |
| Midfielder | K. Dewsbury-Hall |
| Midfielder | C. Alcaraz |
| Attacker | T. Barry |
Team News
Hull City absences: No key absences.
Everton absences: No key absences.
Betting Analysis & Tips
Our independent analytical model projects Everton with a 52% win probability, compared to 22% for Hull City and 26% for the draw. Comparing these fair probabilities against Wolfbet’s market price of 2.0 (50.0% implied probability) yields a clear +4.0% expected value on the away win. Given Everton’s defensive momentum and Hull’s light goal threat, backing Everton directly in the 1X2 market offers the primary value angle on the board.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Value Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Hull City | 3.53 | No value |
| Draw | Draw | 3.26 | No value |
| Match Result | Everton | 2.0 | ★ Value |
Final Prediction
Everton’s structure and strong defensive record should prove decisive against a Hull City squad that has struggled to create high-quality chances consistently. Expect a controlled contest where Everton establish authority in midfield and maintain their defensive discipline.
| Predicted Score | Hull City 0-1 Everton |
| Most Likely Result | Away Win |
| Recommended Bet | Away Win @ 2.00 (EV +4%) |
Responsible Gambling
This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.
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