Newcastle United vs Hull City Prediction & Betting Tips – Premier League

Published Sep 16, 2026

Updated Sep 15, 2026

10 mins read

Premier League

Newcastle United

Sat, 19 Sep, 14:00

Hull City

Match Finished

2:1

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Match Preview

Newcastle United welcome Hull City to St. James’ Park on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 14:00 UTC in an intriguing Premier League encounter. The Magpies will be eager to respond immediately after suffering a heavy 1-4 loss to Leeds United in their previous league outing. Meanwhile, Hull City arrive on Tyneside following a highly credible 2-2 draw against Chelsea, showing they can disrupt top-tier opposition on their day. With both sides seeking stability in the early weeks of the campaign, tactical discipline and defensive sharpness will be paramount.

Newcastle United – Team Analysis

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Result
2026-09-14	Premier League	Leeds United	1-4	Loss
2026-09-08	League Cup	Millwall	1-0	Win
2026-09-05	Premier League	Bournemouth	2-2	Draw
2026-08-29	Premier League	Tottenham	2-0	Win
2026-08-26	League Cup	West Brom	3-2	Win

Average Goals Scored:1.8 goals/game

Average Goals Conceded:1.6 conceded/game

Current Form:LWDWW

Newcastle United have maintained a solid attacking output in recent weeks, generating 1.8 goals/game across all competitions. However, lingering defensive issues persist, as reflected by their average of 1.6 conceded/game and the four goals surrendered against Leeds. With recent form across all competitions standing at LWDWW, Eddie Howe’s men will need to re-establish defensive cohesion to protect their home record.

Hull City – Team Analysis

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Result
2026-09-12	Premier League	Chelsea	2-2	Draw
2026-09-08	League Cup	Sunderland	0-1	Loss
2026-09-05	Premier League	Aston Villa	0-0	Draw
2026-08-29	Premier League	Coventry	1-0	Win
2026-08-25	League Cup	Stoke City	1-1	Draw

Average Goals Scored:0.8 goals/game

Average Goals Conceded:0.8 conceded/game

Current Form:DLDWD

Hull City have built their current structure around low-scoring, highly competitive games, posting a tidy 0.8 conceded/game across all competitions. While their offensive production remains modest at 0.8 goals/game, their recent form across all competitions (DLDWD) demonstrates an ability to stay locked in close contests. Their defensive stubbornness makes them a difficult team to break down over 90 minutes.

Head-to-Head Record

Date	Competition	Match	Score	Winner
2024-07-27	Friendlies Clubs – Club Friendlies 3	Hull City vs Newcastle	0-2	Newcastle

Newcastle United Wins:1

Draws:0

Hull City Wins:0

Predicted Starting Lineups

Newcastle United – Predicted XI

4-3-3

Position	Player
Goalkeeper	N. Pope
Defender	T. Livramento
Defender	F. Schär
Defender	S. Botman
Defender	L. Hall
Midfielder	Joelinton
Midfielder	J. Willock
Midfielder	L. Miley
Attacker	A. Elanga
Attacker	Y. Wissa
Midfielder	J. Murphy

Hull City – Predicted XI

4-2-3-1

Position	Player
Goalkeeper	J. Butland
Defender	L. Coyle
Defender	J. Egan
Defender	S. Ajayi
Defender	R. Giles
Midfielder	H. Morita
Midfielder	E. Matazo
Midfielder	S. Thomas
Midfielder	A. Ömür
Midfielder	M. Belloumi
Attacker	O. McBurnie

Team News

Newcastle United absences: No key absences.

Hull City absences: No key absences.

Betting Analysis & Tips

Analytical assessment places Newcastle United as the clear home favourite with a 63% winning probability. However, comparing these probabilities against current market pricing reveals little value for prospective bettors. Newcastle at 1.57 offers a negative expected value (-1.1%), while the Draw at 4.1 (-5.7%) and Hull City at 4.8 (-32.8%) also fail to cross positive mathematical thresholds. When bookmaker odds fail to present positive expected value across the board, the most disciplined strategy is to hold back and pass on placing a wager.

Market	Selection	Odds	Value Rating
Match Result	Newcastle United	1.57	No value
Draw	Draw	4.1	No value
Match Result	Hull City	4.8	No value

Final Prediction

Newcastle United possess superior firepower at home and are expected to control tempo, making a narrow home victory the most statistically sound expectation. Nevertheless, because no selection meets our value threshold, our analytical recommendation remains a firm NO BET. Smart bankroll management requires avoiding matches where the market margin consumes all expected edge.

Predicted Score	Newcastle United 2-0 Hull City
Most Likely Result	Home Win
Recommended Bet	No bet – no value vs odds

Responsible Gambling

This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

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Oliver Grant

Football Expert

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Football tactical analyst from London, UK. Oliver has over a 8 years of experience covering European Leagues and UEFA competitions. Known for his data-driven insights and calm, analytical style.