Sixteen players make the second week of a Grand Slam. That is where this tournament stands after Round 3 wraps up. The draw started with 128 names. By the time the matches on September 4 finish, only sixteen will remain, and each one will have already survived three rounds of a field that has already swallowed seven seeds whole.

Round 3 takes place today, Friday, September 4 (with some late matches finishing into the early hours of Saturday, September 5 due to night session scheduling). Here is a look at four of the matches deciding who makes that final sixteen.

🇺🇸 Shelton vs 🇨🇦 Shapovalov – complete analysis

Taking all statistical factors and recent performances into account, B. Shelton is the clear choice to win this encounter. B. Shelton’s perfect 3-0 head-to-head record against D. Shapovalov is a massive psychological factor that cannot be overlooked. Furthermore, B. Shelton’s superior ranking of World No. 9 and his exceptional 80% win rate contrast sharply with D. Shapovalov’s World No. 48 ranking and 60% win rate. While the 37.0 total games line suggests that D. Shapovalov will put up a strong fight and likely push some sets to tiebreaks, B. Shelton’s superior serve, clutch baseline play, and mental resilience under pressure will see him through. Expect a highly competitive match, but B. Shelton will ultimately secure the victory.

🇨🇿 Lehecka vs 🇬🇷 Tsitsipas – complete analysis

This matchup is defined by the contrasting momentum of the two players. J. Lehecka is playing with the confidence of a top-20 player who knows exactly how to break down his opponent’s game, having done so successfully in their last two meetings. S. Tsitsipas is still searching for his best tennis and lacks the defensive stability to withstand the clean, powerful groundstrokes of the Czech. Lehecka will dictate the rallies from the baseline, exploit the weaker wing of Tsitsipas, and secure a decisive victory to progress to the next round.

🇨🇳 Wu vs 🇪🇸 Alcaraz – complete analysis

Carlos Alcaraz is superior to Y. Wu in every statistical and physical category. His 80% overall win rate, combined with his previous straight-sets victory over Wu, guarantees he will control this match from start to finish. Wu’s struggles on hard courts in 2026 indicate he lacks the consistency required to disrupt the Spaniard’s rhythm. Alcaraz will secure a swift and commanding victory, keeping the total game count well under the 32.5 line.

🇲🇨 Vacherot vs 🇺🇸 Tiafoe – complete analysis

Frances Tiafoe will secure the victory in this match. His superior recent form, characterized by an 80% win rate, combined with his high-level tournament experience, gives him a decisive advantage over Valentin Vacherot. While Vacherot has shown solid baseline play in the early rounds, his 40% win rate in the lead-up matches suggests he lacks the consistency required to overcome Tiafoe in a best-of-five-set format. Expect Tiafoe to use his athletic defense and aggressive forehand to break Vacherot’s rhythm and claim a commanding victory.