Match Preview
An intriguing matchup is set to unfold at the US Open as the experienced Francisco Cerundolo faces the lower-ranked Filip Misolic. Ranked 25th in the world with 1980 ranking points, Francisco Cerundolo enters this contest as the overwhelming favorite, while Filip Misolic, currently sitting at world number 537 with 80 ranking points, seeks to pull off a monumental upset. While both players have faced their share of challenges recently, the gulf in ranking and experience at the highest level of professional tennis sets a dramatic stage for this encounter on the grand slam stage.
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Match Winner | F. Cerundolo to Win | High |
Betting Analysis
The betting markets paint a clear picture of expectations for this clash, establishing Francisco Cerundolo as the heavy favorite at odds of 1.06, while Filip Misolic is positioned as a distant underdog at 10.0. The total games line is set at 30.0, with equal odds of 1.85 for both the over and the under. This line suggests that the oddsmakers anticipate a relatively swift, one-sided affair. Considering Francisco Cerundolo’s dominant style and superior court coverage, a straight-sets victory is the expected outcome, which will comfortably keep the total game count under the 30.0 threshold. Filip Misolic struggles to maintain high-intensity rallies against top-tier opponents, further supporting the expectation of a quick and decisive match in favor of the Argentine.
F. Misolic Results
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | Manama | F. Misolic vs L. Giustino | 6.5-7.7 6.4-7.7 | L |
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | F. Misolic vs A. Davidovich Fokina | 2-6 3-6 3-6 | L |
| 2026-01-12 | Adelaide | F. Misolic vs A. Shevchenko | 5-7 3-6 | L |
| 2026-01-11 | Adelaide | F. Misolic vs D. Jovanovski | 7-5 6-4 | W |
| 2026-01-03 | Brisbane | F. Misolic vs R. Hijikata | 6-3 6-3 | L |
Filip Misolic has experienced a difficult stretch of form, recording a low 20% win rate in his recent matches. In his 2026 campaign, Filip Misolic has played limited matches on hard courts, holding a 1-1 record on the surface. His last few outings have been underwhelming, highlighted by a straight-sets defeat to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at the Australian Open (2-6, 3-6, 3-6) and a subsequent loss to Lorenzo Giustino in Manama where he lost consecutive tiebreakers. His sole victory in this recent stretch came against Dejan Jovanovski in the Adelaide qualifiers (7-5, 6-4). These results illustrate a persistent struggle to find rhythm and maintain consistency against top-level competition, which leaves him highly vulnerable in best-of-five grand slam matches.
F. Cerundolo Results
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati | F. Cerundolo vs N. Borges | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 2026-08-05 | Montreal | F. Cerundolo vs A. Michelsen | 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 2026-07-31 | Los Cabos | F. Cerundolo vs A. Gea | 7.13-6.11 4-6 0-6 | L |
| 2026-07-18 | UTS Championship | F. Cerundolo vs C. Norrie | 16-12 15-12 17-8 | W |
| 2026-07-18 | UTS Championship | F. Cerundolo vs L. A. Miguel | 11-23 15-12 15-16 17-12 2-0 | L |
Francisco Cerundolo also enters the tournament with a 20% win rate in his most recent matches, having suffered consecutive hard-court defeats against Nicolas Borges in Cincinnati (6-4, 6-4) and Alex Michelsen in Montreal (6-3, 6-4). Despite this brief slump, Francisco Cerundolo’s overall pedigree and historical hard-court performance set him apart. During the 2025 season, Francisco Cerundolo compiled a solid 59% win rate on hard courts, winning 16 matches and losing 11. His ability to dictate play with his powerful forehand and physical style ensures that he remains a formidable opponent on this surface, and this matchup represents the perfect opportunity for him to regain his winning momentum.
Head-to-Head
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-30 | ATP French Open | F. Cerundolo vs F. Misolic | 6-2 7.7-6.2 6-0 |
| 2022-10-24 | Vienna | F. Misolic vs F. Cerundolo | 3-6 3-6 |
The head-to-head history provides a significant psychological advantage to Francisco Cerundolo, who has won both of their previous meetings without dropping a single set. Their most recent battle took place at the 2024 French Open, where Francisco Cerundolo dismantled Filip Misolic in a convincing fashion with a 6-2, 7.7-6.2, 6-0 scoreline. Prior to that, the two met on the indoor courts of Vienna in 2022, where Francisco Cerundolo cruised to a comfortable 6-3, 6-3 victory. This clear track record of dominance shows that Francisco Cerundolo has the tactical solutions to neutralize Filip Misolic’s game style in any conditions.
Key Factors
- Rankings Gap: Francisco Cerundolo is ranked 25th in the world, while Filip Misolic sits down at 537th, representing a massive difference in class and experience.
- Head-to-Head Dominance: Francisco Cerundolo leads the head-to-head record 2-0, winning all sets played between the two, including a dominant performance at the 2024 French Open.
- Hard Court Pedigree: Francisco Cerundolo maintained a strong 59% win rate on hard courts in 2025, whereas Filip Misolic has spent most of his career competing at lower-tier events and has limited success on this surface at the ATP level.
- Match Duration: The total games line of 30.0 indicates a short match, aligning with Francisco Cerundolo’s history of dispatching Filip Misolic quickly.
Final Verdict
Francisco Cerundolo is the superior player in every department of this matchup. With a top-25 ranking and a dominant head-to-head record against Filip Misolic, the Argentine has all the tools required to control the tempo from the baseline. Filip Misolic’s low win rate of 20% and his recent struggles in grand slams indicate he does not possess the consistency to challenge Francisco Cerundolo over a best-of-five format. Francisco Cerundolo will secure a convincing, straight-sets victory, keeping the total games under 30.0.
This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.
Sports Journalist
