Arsenal vs Everton Prediction & Betting Tips – Premier League

Published Oct 21, 2026

Updated Oct 19, 2026

3 mins read

Premier League

Arsenal

Sat, 24 Oct, 14:00

Everton

Home

1.37

Draw

4.2

Away

8.2

Bet now

Match Preview

Emirates Stadium plays host to Premier League action on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 14:00 UTC as Arsenal welcome Everton. Mikel Arteta’s side enter this clash as heavy statistical favorites, backed by strong underlying metrics and a dominant recent head-to-head record over the Toffees. However, from a strictly analytical betting standpoint, pricing in the 1X2 markets leaves limited margins, making disciplined evaluation essential before backing any outcome.

Arsenal – Team Analysis

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Result
2026-10-18	Premier League	Nottingham Forest	1-0	Win
2026-10-13	UEFA Champions League	Lille	3-0	Win
2026-10-10	Premier League	Leeds	2-1	Win
2026-09-19	Premier League	Brighton	0-3	Loss
2026-09-15	League Cup	Ipswich	4-2	Win

Average Goals Scored:2.0 goals/game

Average Goals Conceded:1.2 conceded/game

Current Form:WWWLW

Arsenal have posted four victories across their last five matches in all competitions, showcasing robust attack with an average of 2.0 goals scored per game. Defensive resilience remains solid despite a minor blip against Brighton, allowing just 1.2 goals per game overall. Their high-pressing structure and fluency in transition make them formidable opponents on home turf.

Everton – Team Analysis

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Result
2026-10-17	Premier League	Chelsea	0-2	Loss
2026-10-11	Premier League	Hull City	2-2	Draw
2026-09-19	Premier League	Ipswich	1-0	Win
2026-09-16	League Cup	Wolves	1-0	Win
2026-09-12	Premier League	Tottenham	0-0	Draw

Average Goals Scored:0.8 goals/game

Average Goals Conceded:0.8 conceded/game

Current Form:LDWWD

Everton bring a defensive, pragmatic shape to North London, yielding a low goal differential profile with just 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per game across recent fixtures. While their compact low block keeps matches competitive, a lack of consistent offensive output hinders their ability to threaten elite opposition consistently.

Head-to-Head Record

Date	Competition	Match	Score	Winner
2026-03-14	Premier League	Arsenal vs Everton	2-0	Arsenal
2025-12-20	Premier League	Everton vs Arsenal	0-1	Arsenal
2025-04-05	Premier League	Everton vs Arsenal	1-1	Draw
2024-12-14	Premier League	Arsenal vs Everton	0-0	Draw
2024-05-19	Premier League	Arsenal vs Everton	2-1	Arsenal
2023-09-17	Everton vs Arsenal	0-1	Arsenal

Arsenal Wins:4

Draws:2

Everton Wins:0

Predicted Starting Lineups

Arsenal – Predicted XI

4-3-3

Position	Player
Goalkeeper	David Raya
Defender	W. Saliba
Defender	B. White
Defender	Gabriel Magalhães
Attacker	B. Saka
Midfielder	M. Ødegaard
Midfielder	E. Eze
Defender	J. Timber
Attacker	V. Gyökeres
Midfielder	Martín Zubimendi
Midfielder	D. Rice

Everton – Predicted XI

4-3-3

Position	Player
Goalkeeper	J. Pickford
Defender	A. Maitland-Niles
Defender	M. Keane
Midfielder	K. Dewsbury-Hall
Attacker	T. Barry
Defender	J. O’Brien
Defender	V. Mykolenko
Attacker	T. Dibling
Midfielder	B. Johnson
Midfielder	C. Nørgaard
Midfielder	J. Garner

Team News

Arsenal absences: No key absences.

Everton absences: No key absences.

Betting Analysis & Tips

Our independent probability model evaluates Arsenal as having a 72% chance of winning, while assigning a 20% probability to the Draw and 8% to an Everton away victory. However, comparing these probabilities against bookmaker odds reveals negative expected value across all three primary outcomes: Arsenal at 1.37 (-1.4% EV), Draw at 4.2 (-16.0% EV), and Everton at 8.2 (-34.4% EV). Because none of the 1X2 selections reach a positive expected value threshold, the most prudent strategic call is to issue a ‘No Bet’ recommendation on the match result market.

Market	Selection	Odds	Value Rating
Match Result	Arsenal	1.37	No value
Draw	Draw	4.2	No value
Match Result	Everton	8.2	No value

Final Prediction

While Arsenal are overwhelmingly likely to control territory and secure all three points, current market lines do not present sufficient value to justify a bet on the 1X2 markets. Expect a controlled performance from the home side against a stubborn Everton setup.

Predicted Score	Arsenal 2-0 Everton
Most Likely Result	Home Win
Recommended Bet	No bet – no value vs odds

Responsible Gambling

This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet now

Oliver Grant

Football Expert

429 art.

Football tactical analyst from London, UK. Oliver has over a 8 years of experience covering European Leagues and UEFA competitions. Known for his data-driven insights and calm, analytical style.